OSLO: The Arab Spring is the focus of speculation over this year's Nobel Peace Prize, with an Afghan human rights activist and European Union as possible outsiders. The Norwegian Nobel Committee gives no clues ahead of the October 7 announcement, but judging by previous selections, the rebellion sweeping across North Africa and the Middle East would appear to tick all the right boxes. The challenge would be to identify a person or group that embodies the non-violent spirit of the revolution . "It's particularly hard in the context of these protests where there hasn't always been an identifiable leadership," said Kristian Berg Harpviken, the director of the Peace Research Institute Oslo, and a prominent voice in the Nobel guessing game. His top picks are Egyptian activists Israa Abdel Fattah, Ahmed Maher and the April 6 Youth Movement , a pro-democracy Facebook group they co-founded in 2008. His second choice is Wael Ghonim , a marketing executive for Google, for re-energizing the protests on Cairo's Tahrir Square after the ouster of president Hosni Mubarak. Harpviken's third pick is Tunisian blogger Lina Ben Mhenni who started criticizing the Tunisian regime before the uprising began in December. The Tunisian man whose self-immolation set off the protests is not a contender because the Nobel prizes are not awarded posthumously.
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